By Andrew Greif
The Detroit Lions outlasted the Green Bay Packers on Thursday, clinching a playoff berth and improving to 12-1 by taking one big risk after another.
Those decisions paid off with a 34-31 win against the Packers that keeps the Lions in the running for the top seed in the NFC.
Detroit coach Dan Campbell watched as his team converted twice on fourth down to score touchdowns. He watched as another fourth-down try in the fourth quarter backfired and allowed division rival Green Bay to take the lead. But with 43 seconds left in the fourth quarter and with the opportunity to kick a go-ahead field goal, Campbell took his biggest risk of them all, turning down a chance to win the game with a field goal by going for it again on fourth down.
Convert and Detroit would be able to score and leave the Packers no time on the clock for a rebuttal. Fail and Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love would get the ball and an opportunity to hand the Lions their first loss since Week 2.
The Lions converted, even though quarterback Jared Goff stumbled to the turf while handing the ball off. Two plays later, Detroit’s Jake Bates kicked the game-winning field goal as time expired.
Goff threw for 283 yards, three touchdowns and an interception. David Montgomery, who ran for the crucial first down in the final minute, added a touchdown run.
The win is Detroit's franchise record 11th in a row.
The Packers (9-4) were led by three rushing touchdowns by Josh Jacobs, but they were held to 99 rushing yards overall, more than 40 yards below their season average.
Christian Watson caught four passes for 114 yards from Love, who threw for 206 yards and a touchdown.
Green Bay’s slim hopes to win the NFC North, the NFL’s toughest division, hinged on their knocking off the Lions. Green Bay trailed 17-7 at halftime but took the lead after they scored 14 points in the third quarter. It was one of five lead changes in the game.
Lions coach Dan Campbell speaks to team after big win
NBC News
Detroit stumbles but wins anyway
Andrew Greif
On coach Dan Campbell’s gutsiest call of the night, Detroit ran on fourth down with only 43 seconds left in the fourth quarter, even though the Lions could have kicked a relatively short field goal to take the lead. But Campbell didn’t want to give the Packers and quarterback Jordan Love the ball back with time for one last drive, and decided to run the ball. It nearly went haywire because Lions quarterback Jared Goff fell down while handing the ball off to David Montgomery, but Montgomery ran for seven yards and the first down after a nail-biting handoff.
Two plays later, Lions kicker Jake Bates made a 35-yard field goal for the win as time expired.
The Lions prevail, 34-31, to improve to 12-1 and clinch a playoff berth.
Packers forge a tie late in the fourth quarter
Andrew Greif
Green Bay ties the score at 31-all with 3:38 remaining in the fourth quarter on a 32-yard field goal by Brandon McManus. A terrific game has come down to this: Can Detroit’s Jared Goff, who has three game-winning drives already this season, author another?
Lions strike back, lead 31-28
Andrew Greif
Smart play designs as seen during Detroit’s 10-play, 70-yard touchdown drive are why offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is expected to be one of the most sought-after assistant coaches in the league. A misdirection run by Amon-Ra St. Brown helped get Detroit close to the goal line, and a play-action pass from Jared Goff to Tim Patrick sealed the score. It’s Patrick’s second touchdown grab tonight.
Buckle up, everybody, 8:39 still remains in the fourth quarter and this game has already seen five lead changes.
Back and forth we go
Andrew Greif
Packers running back Josh Jacobs retakes the lead for Green Bay with his third touchdown of the night, a short run that puts them in front, 27-24. Will Lions coach Dan Campbell regret making his fourth-down call so deep into his own territory that gave the Packers the ball back? The Packers are now 4-for-4 on drives inside the red zone, while Detroit is 3-for-3.
Lions' fourth-down luck backfires
Andrew Greif
With the ball inside their own 30-yard line, Detroit attempted their fourth fourth-down conversion of the night. This time it led to a turnover on downs after the Packers easily stopped a wide toss, and gave Green Bay an extremely important opportunity to take back the lead.
Touchdown, Detroit!
Andrew Greif
Detroit coach Dan Campbell has become famous for his aggressive approach, and it has paid off tonight. The Lions have now gone for it on fourth down close to the goal line twice, and scored each time. The latest was quarterback Jared Goff’s quick pass to Tim Patrick to take back the lead for Detroit, 24-21 with 5 minutes left in the third quarter.
Big plays for Green Bay
Andrew Greif
Green Bay now leads 21-17. What a turnaround after trailing by 10 at halftime. Jared Goff didn’t see Packers defender Keisean Nixon and threw an interception right to him early in the third quarter. It was Goff’s first interception in four games and it gave the Packers 24 total takeaways on the season, tied for second-most in the NFL, and it put them in position to score quickly.
Only 45 seconds after the pick, Green Bay scored on a 6-yard rush by Josh Jacobs.
Touchdown, Green Bay
Andrew Greif
How did Jordan Love fit that pass into an opening where his tight end Tucker Kraft could catch it? On third-and-10, Love threw a perfect 12-yard pass to Kraft to cut Detroit’s lead to 17-14 with 13 minutes left in the third quarter.
It took two quarters, but the Packers earned a first down via a pass for the first time tonight. And that play, a 59-yard strike to Christian Watson — where he beat cornerback Carlton Davis III, the same player who forced a fumble on Watson in the first half — keyed the scoring drive.
Halftime: Lions 17, Packers 7
Andrew Greif
Detroit scored on its first and last drives of the first half, and despite doing little between then, it’s in front after Green Bay’s offense sputtered, going 0-for-2 on third down.
Detroit has 128 yards passing, to Green Bay’s 24, while the Packers have averaged 5.7 yards per carry to gain 80 yards on the ground to Detroit’s 46. The big differentiator right now is the Packers fumble that led to a Lions field goal, helping them gain momentum at a moment when their offense was struggling.
Lions pad lead, 17-7
Andrew Greif
After the Lions were unable to score a touchdown on third down with the ball just half a yard from the end zone, Detroit opted against a field-goal try. It was a high-risk move, with only 14 seconds left before halftime, but it paid off.
Jared Goff beat Green Bay’s blitz up the middle by dumping the ball to running back Jahmyr Gibbs for a 2-yard touchdown. Gibbs exploited his matchup against a linebacker for a clutch score. Detroit this season is now 12-for-18 on fourth down.
Touchdown, Green Bay
Andrew Greif
The Packers leaned on their running game to score their first points, rushing the ball 10 times on a 12-play drive — including Josh Jacobs’ 1-yard touchdown dive. Detroit now leads, 10-7, with 5:35 to go before halftime.
1,000-yard mark
Andrew Greif
Green Bay running back Josh Jacobs surpassed 1,000 rushing yards for the season in the second quarter. He’d entered the night needing only 13 yards to reach the milestone for the fourth time in his six-year career. Jacobs rushed for a career-high and league-leading 1,653 yards in 2022 with Las Vegas, only to gain half that last season with the Raiders.
Now in his first year in Green Bay, Jacobs has helped his new team rank fifth in the NFL by averaging 148.5 yards per game. One of the four teams to average more? Detroit.
Lions extend lead, 10-0
Andrew Greif
After Green Bay’s turnover gave Detroit the ball back near midfield, the Lions used a 10-yard pass and a 15-yard penalty for unnecessary roughness to move the ball into field-goal position. Jake Bates then knocked in a 43-yard field goal. With 13 minutes to play before halftime, the Lions lead, 10-0.
Opportunity for Lions
Andrew Greif
Detroit’s offense was going nowhere. Then its defense gave it another opportunity. Packers receiver Christian Watson didn’t see Lions cornerback Carlton Davis III coming from behind and punch out the ball, causing a fumble Detroit pounced on. They get the ball back less than a minute into the second quarter.
Chippy atmosphere
Andrew Greif
As we outlined earlier, the NFC North has been the toughest division in the league this season and both teams know they still have a path to a high seed in the postseason, and potentially the top seed. It explains the intensity captured before kickoff.
Lions getting to Love
Andrew Greif
The Packers haven’t allowed a sack on quarterback Jordan Love in three of their last five games, but Detroit has already sacked Love once tonight, roughing him up as he hit the turf. Both offenses have stalled since Detroit’s opening touchdown.
Green Bay can’t answer
Andrew Greif
The Packers’ offense gains just five yards on five plays before punting on its opening drive. It only earned a first down because of a penalty.
Touchdown, Lions!
Andrew Greif
Detroit scores on its first drive, going 70 yards in 11 plays in over five minutes. Aided by penalties that gave it more red-zone opportunities near the goal line, David Montgomery runs in for a short touchdown and a 7-0 Lions lead.
We are underway in Detroit
Andrew Greif
The Lions will receive first. Even though it leads the league in points per game (31.9), Detroit ranks just 17th in points scored per first quarter.
Code breaker
Andrew Greif
NFL teams closely guard aspects of their playbook like nuclear codes. It’s why stories of teams spying on one another have turned into scandals, and why coaches are often seen on sidelines covering their mouth with a laminated playsheet as they call a play. This week fans on social media received a rare view into a team’s preparation for an opponent when Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs accidentally posted an image to social media showing his team’s code words outlining their pass protections against Green Bay.
Coaches from both teams have downplayed the edge it may provide.
"I’m sure our guys aren’t going to sit there and study every code word they have in their offense," Packers coach Matt LeFleur said. “I mean, you can get this stuff from the TV copies. I mean, there are certain things you can pick up off the TV copies. That’s why most teams, I would say probably every team in the league, listen to what they’re putting out there as well as what the opponent is putting out there and you try to piece it together. Personally, I think it’s probably a little bit overrated.”
Can Jordan Love play mistake-free?
Andrew Greif
Jordan Love is one of the most promising young quarterbacks in the NFL, but this season he has been plagued by interceptions, with as many through 10 games (11) as he threw all of last year in 17 games. And yet, in his last two games for Green Bay, Love has combined for four touchdowns and zero picks.
Love is coming off his best statistical game of the season, a Week 13 win against Miami in which he posted a season-high quarterback rating while being sacked zero times.
Injury report
Andrew Greif
Detroit starting offensive lineman Taylor Decker has officially been ruled out and will not play against Green Bay. It’s the second consecutive week Decker has missed with a knee injury.
Three other Lions who were hurt within the past week also won’t play tonight, according to the team: defensive linemen Levi Onwuzurike (hamstring) and D.J. Reader and defensive end Joshua Paschal (knee).
The silver lining for a banged-up Lions team is that cornerback Carlton Davis III, who had been dealing with knee and thumb injuries, will be available.
The Packers aren’t at full-strength, either. The team has ruled out cornerbacks Corey Ballentine and Jaire Alexander, receiver Romeo Doubs and linebacker Edgerrin Cooper.
Could injuries doom Lions?
Andrew Greif
At 10-2 and having outscored its opponents by a league-high 180 points, Detroit has been one of the NFL’s best teams. And also one of its most injured.
Every NFL team has appeared in a Super Bowl — except Detroit. Their injuries haven’t derailed the Super Bowl as a possibility, but have made it more challenging. This week began with one starter on the offensive line and three on the defensive line not taking part in practice Monday. They are just the latest names to be added to the team’s injury report, which includes one of the league’s top defensive ends, Aidan Hutchinson.
Their defense has been decimated:
Does Jared Goff have a shot at MVP?
Andrew Greif
The former No. 1 overall pick in 2016, Jared Goff had a charmed start to his career with the Rams, appearing in a Super Bowl within three seasons. But since the Rams lost confidence in Goff in 2021 and traded him to Detroit in exchange for Matthew Stafford, Goff has shown again why he entered the NFL as such a top prospect.
Oddsmakersat Covers have given Goff the fifth-best odds to win the NFL’s most valuable player award this season after he has posted a passer rating of 109.0, which is the highest of his career and well above his career average of 94.7.
Goff enters tonight with 22 touchdowns, 10 fewer than his career-high with five games to play, and 9 interceptions. Goff is also averaging what would be career-bests in average yards per attempt (8.8) and net yards per attempt (7.7), which factors in sacks.
Turnovers will be key
Andrew Greif
With 11 interceptions and 12 fumble recoveries, Green Bay’s defense has the fifth-most takeaways this season, two behind NFL-leading Pittsburgh.
Detroit’s 14 interceptions rank third-most, and they’ve added five fumble recoveries, for 19 total takeaways. It’s a reason why Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn is often referred to as one of the top head-coaching candidates. And yet both teams have a turnover margin in only the single digits because their offenses have been prone to turnovers themselves. Jared Goff and Jordan Love are two of the NFL’s most talented quarterbacks but will be tested tonight.
Lions can clinch playoff spot tonight
Andrew Greif
Only one division in the NFL standings boasts three teams with winning records this season: the NFC North. The division has been so strong that it has produced three of the seven teams with nine wins or more — Detroit, Minnesota and Green Bay.
Staying atop the conference is incredibly important, as the top team from both the AFC and NFC earn a bye in the playoffs’ first round. Tonight’s matchup between Detroit and Green Bay will help decide playoff seeding, and Detroit could clinch a playoff berth outright with a victory.
Detroit has already beaten Green Bay once this season. The Packers aren’t mathematically eliminated from earning a No. 1 seed in the NFC, but it’s a difficult path to turn into reality. One hurdle is that the Packers have already lost to Philadelphia, which itself is vying for the conference’s top seed.
How things stand in the NFC North entering Thursday’s matchup:
Detroit: 11-1
Minnesota: 10-2
Green Bay: 9-3
Chicago: 4-8
Andrew Greif
Andrew Greif is a freelance sports journalist.